The Lighting Market … What’s Next?
With many commenting that the lighting industry is “slow” and some companies undergoing retraction you may think that lighting innovation is declining, and the future may be dimming. Repeatedly you hear of value-engineering and the commoditization of the industry, especially the “white goods” sector.
Many are “betting” on lighting controls and controls being “smart” and hoping that this will generate new opportunities for the lighting segment. Unfortunately, controls continue to represent a nominal percent of lighting revenues … although it is growing.
As many know, one of the services of Channel Marketing Group is US Lighting Trends. This ePublication, which reaches over 29,000 readers within the US lighting ecosystem (and if you don’t receive, subscribe here.)
Recently, one of our contributors, David LaVigna from DLightWorks, who has been involved in product development in the lighting industry, shared his thoughts on the future of lighting. As he gazed into his crystal ball, he considered opportunities that are coming to the lighting industry … and some, maybe all of this, could drive your future lighting business. The article is reprinted below. Take a read.
What’s Next for Lighting
“After 25+ years in lighting, I’ve learned that our industry doesn’t really do “slow and steady.” We leap. We pivot. We reinvent.
What was once about watts and fixture counts has become a high-stakes intersection of technology, wellness, data, and design. And as we stand on the edge of another big shift, I’ve been thinking a lot about where we’re headed — not just in terms of products, but in how we think about lighting altogether.
Here’s my take on what’s coming in the next three to five years. Not a prediction, but more of a pulse check.
1. Smart Controls Grow Up (Finally)
We’ve been calling things “smart” for years — but let’s be honest, a lot of it has been glorified scheduling and occupancy sensing. What’s next feels much more interesting: lighting systems that actually understand context.
We’ll see a shift from automation to awareness — systems that adjust lighting based on behavior, time of day, environmental conditions, and even emotional cues. Imagine a space that knows when people need focus vs. collaboration and adjusts accordingly without you needing to touch a single control.
AI-driven platforms will be at the heart of this, blending HVAC, lighting, and occupancy into a unified, user-focused experience. The future isn’t a dashboard — it’s invisibility.
2. Laser LED: Small Size, Big Impact
Laser-based lighting isn’t new — but it’s about to matter more.
Smaller, brighter, and highly efficient, laser phosphor LEDs are opening the door to form factors we couldn’t imagine even five years ago. Think tiny light sources with massive punch. For designers and architects, this means less compromise between aesthetics and performance.
Will this hit mainstream commercial lighting overnight? Probably not. But in performance-driven environments – high bays, extreme conditions, outdoor – this will be a breakthrough worth watching.
3. The Next Evolution of Human-Centric Lighting
We’ve moved beyond “tunable white.” The next step is designing light that aligns with how people live, work, and heal.
Over the next few years, I expect a lot more nuance here — spectral tuning that’s truly biological, systems that support circadian health in more meaningful ways, and platforms that personalize light based on who you are, not just where or when you are.
We’re not far from fixtures that can adapt to your sleep cycle, track light exposure, or even integrate with wearable data. Whether this ends up in healthcare, education, or high-performance workspaces first — human-centric lighting is growing up.
4. Fixtures That Talk (and Listen)
Lighting has quietly become one of the best real estate plays for sensor-based intelligence.
Why? Fixtures are already powered, distributed evenly, and line-of-sight. Add in sensors, Li-Fi, heat mapping, or asset tracking and suddenly lighting is your data network. We’re going to see lighting become a core data infrastructure, not just a line item in the electrical budget.
Clients will start asking, “What else can this fixture do for me?” And the answer better go beyond lumens.
5. Sustainability That’s More Than a Spec Sheet
Efficiency is table stakes. The conversation is shifting toward material impact, lifecycle design, and circularity. Can the product be repaired? Reused? Is there transparency on sourcing?
I expect more pressure – especially from architects and end-users – for lighting products that can be upgraded, not just replaced. This also means documentation will matter more: digital product passports, traceability, and real-time impact data will all become differentiators.
If you’re not already designing for end-of-life, now’s the time.
Lighting as Platform, Not Product
At the end of the day, lighting is shifting from “thing” to experience. It’s not just about brightness or color — it’s about how light makes us feel, how it connects us, and how it supports the spaces we create.
That’s why I think the real innovation won’t come from the tech alone. It’ll come from the people who know how to bridge the creative with the operational — designers, engineers, manufacturers, and strategists who understand that lighting is both art and infrastructure.
So what’s next? Everything, really. And I’m here for it.”
About David LaVigna
David LaVigna is a seasoned creative and strategic executive with 25+ years of experience leading innovation, product development, and business transformation across the lighting and technology industries. Known for blending product excellence with sales rigor, he has scaled companies to multimillion-dollar success while mentoring teams and fostering compassionate, collaborative, outcome-driven cultures. Learn more at www.dlightworks.co
Take Aways
The opportunities David projects sound exciting. The keys will be manufacturers driving demand via effective marketing and highlighting “why” end-users should be interested in these new opportunities and how it will help them generate revenue, drive productivity, improve wellness / health, and more. If they are marketed (or not marketed) based upon specs or features, it will be wasted R&D dollars.
Distributors could seize the opportunity to be solution sellers, especially if they partner with lighting designers / specifiers and key contractors. Some of these offerings could generate service revenue as well as recurring revenue.
Time will tell if David’s predictions come true and these become major revenue drivers, or will they be niche opportunities?
What do you think?
(and if you are interested in sharing other product forecasts, having a project showcased, or contribute a lighting thought leadership article to US LightingTrends’ readers, either reach out to Linda Longo or myself.)