ABB (or Thomas and Betts), Eaton and the Effectiveness of Manufacturer Consolidation on Distributors
Last month we were with a group of distributors facilitating a discussion and the topic came around to supplier consolidation.
As you could suspect, there was conversation regarding the two largest over the past 18 months or so … ABB acquiring Thomas and Betts and Eaton acquiring Cooper Industries.
While there was some information sharing and postulating on what the future may hold (and what distributors may or may not do if X is done), it struck a cord when the group was reminded of a time about 15 years ago.
Back then, the industry was going through significant supplier consolidation. It was presumed that there would be a Big 4 that, aside from the switchgear and lamp manufacturers, would represent a significant percentage of a distributor’s business. The Big 4 were Thomas and Betts, Cooper Industries, Emerson (through their EGS / Appleton group) and Hubbell. And isn’t it ironic that two of these have now been acquired and that EGS is not considered as a platform player anymore as they haven’t made any significant electrical acquisitions in the US recently. And Hubbell, for its various divisions, goes to market via divisions (think Lighting, HEP, Wiring Devices, Burndy, et al) and not in a consolidated (or leverageable) way (and maybe this is their strategy).
It’s rumored that Thomas and Betts and Eaton will utilize their rebate programs as means to “leverage” distributors to capture incremental share but at the same time they tell other distributors “nothing will change” (the difference comes down to what gear / control line a distributor has). There may be pressure, but, in considering history, distributors will make decisions that are in their best interests (which usually means financially). Some gear companies will be pressured (especially if you’re the #4 line in the market).
But this starts begging some questions …
- If you were Hubbell, what would you do? Would you acquire someone or continue to position yourself as “the line of choice”?
- If you are EGS, who significant should be acquired? or what other product categories do they need to consider? or is it too late for them?
- Will GE or Siemens lose share to Eaton?
- Will Eaton develop strategies at the end-user level that enable it to capture both the lighting and gear packages? Will there be some type of product benefits that eventually entice end-users?
and there are many more, but wanted to get the thoughts started.
What do you think? Will Eaton and ABB (or Thomas and Betts) be as successful as they believe they will be?)